Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.605760 4.977547 5.379175 5.847757 6.382624 6.977971 7.696193
2025-05-25 3.911614 4.403588 4.970922 5.682737 6.565527 7.643531 9.091087
2025-06-01 3.500044 4.044149 4.698826 5.561724 6.696866 8.182744 10.356577
2025-06-08 3.259013 3.844413 4.573343 5.574338 6.959824 8.890456 11.955059
2025-06-15 3.102715 3.726315 4.526537 5.666806 7.321482 9.771094 13.997400
2025-06-22 2.864550 3.479036 4.282662 5.455331 7.210925 9.919370 14.878582
2025-06-29 2.684791 3.293757 4.103978 5.312421 7.175291 10.165647 15.976691
2025-07-06 2.535871 3.138783 3.953260 5.192151 7.153727 10.421836 17.150934
2025-07-13 2.437650 3.045841 3.880965 5.178655 7.294983 10.972722 19.080374
2025-07-20 2.379548 3.003897 3.876645 5.265291 7.607047 11.881390 22.124810
2025-07-27 2.341627 2.987126 3.906142 5.405015 8.024594 13.072068 26.406903
2025-08-03 2.281252 2.934203 3.877454 5.446780 8.271184 13.968900 30.400115
2025-08-10 2.202055 2.854306 3.809555 5.429321 8.428868 14.764124 34.810224
2025-08-17 2.094040 2.727793 3.664198 5.271790 8.305497 14.915281 37.259305
2025-08-24 2.006199 2.626983 3.552795 5.163198 8.264381 15.255268 40.746436
2025-08-31 1.952071 2.573762 3.512474 5.174380 8.464406 16.243064 47.982362
2025-09-07 1.917112 2.547445 3.512715 5.256742 8.823212 17.757564 60.033580
2025-09-14 1.829381 2.436598 3.370452 5.068244 8.575258 17.523436 62.039184
2025-09-21 1.759395 2.350571 3.264835 4.940609 8.448387 17.620927 66.539026
2025-09-28 1.697769 2.275228 3.173303 4.833034 8.354608 17.800551 72.125720
2025-10-05 1.658209 2.232723 3.133964 4.820953 8.477081 18.690933 85.495235
2025-10-12 1.637541 2.218859 3.141409 4.898471 8.819400 20.424537 113.400092
2025-10-19 1.626087 2.218907 3.172020 5.023329 9.296650 22.855617 167.243281